The Berkeley Study:
On November 18, 2004 a University of California, Berkeley research team
headed by Professor Michael Hout told a press conference that a study
the team conducted focused on electronic machine voting in Florida.
While all 67 Florida counties were reviewed, the study shows there is a
statistical anomaly in three southern counties which gave President
Bush between 130,000 and 260,000 or more extra votes. At issue were
Broward, Palm Beach, and Miami Dade counties. In Broward County alone,
Mr. Bush appears to have received 72,000 excess votes. (See study
summary.) Hout said, "We can be 99.9% sure that these effects are not
attributable to chance." [more]
The Freeman Study:
Freeman conducts an analysis of Kerry's votes: The likelihood of Kerry
receiving only 47.1% in Florida, given that the exit polls indicated
49.7% is less than three in one thousand. Although Kerry did carry
Pennsylvania, the likelihood of his receiving only 50.8% given that the
exit polls indicated 54.1% is less than two in one thousand. Similarly
the likelihood of Kerry receiving only 48.5% in Ohio, given the exit
polls indicated 52.1% is less than one in one thousand (.0008). Freeman
says, "The likelihood of any two of these statistical anomalies
occurring together is on the order of one-in-a-million. The odds
against all three occurring together are 250 million to one. As much as
we can say in social science that something is impossible, it is
impossible that the discrepancies between predicted and actual vote
counts in the three critical battleground states could have been due to
chance or random error." Freeman concludes his study by making it clear
that it is the "responsibility of the media, academia, polling
agencies, and the public to investigate."
The Ignatzmouse Study of North Carolina:Ignatzmouse
discovered what Dr. Freeman observed: with essentially the same vote
demographics in the absentee votes and the poll votes, there was a
sudden shift of 6.4% of the vote toward the Republican. But when he
compared his data to the Presidential race, he met sheer absurdity. By
all standards of reason, the other two-thirds of the vote should be
very close to the same result, or Kerry should have been behind by 6
points. Instead there was a sudden and unexplained plummet in the very
same electorate of nine points, which more than doubled Kerry's overall
margin of defeat. This meant a 15 point edge for Bush in North Carolina
on election day. Read the study and data here.
